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“Serán las tres”: a future that is not about the future

CEFR B2 · part 2

edumaterial's parts within the level. The European framework does not subdivide them.

The rule, in three lines

Spanish guesses with a TENSE: the future for a guess about now (serán las tres, estará en casa) and the conditional for a guess about the past (serían las tres cuando llegó).

The usual slip. Reading them as real futures and misunderstanding the sentence, or never producing them and saying probablemente every single time.

Why it catches you out. English guesses with modals: “it must be three o'clock”, “he'll be at home” — and that last one is the closest you have. Spanish uses the future for this constantly, which is why “¿dónde estarán mis llaves?” confuses you the first twenty times: it is not asking where they WILL be.